Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.164826 0.189204 0.217103 0.251646 0.293621 0.343428 0.407688
2025-03-23 0.128698 0.160292 0.200600 0.256907 0.335382 0.443823 0.610567
2025-03-30 0.103831 0.136800 0.182211 0.251559 0.359075 0.527523 0.830086
2025-04-06 0.089691 0.123564 0.173202 0.254874 0.393838 0.638144 1.149161
2025-04-13 0.078076 0.111308 0.162413 0.251678 0.415745 0.734503 1.501906
2025-04-20 0.070675 0.103908 0.157303 0.255918 0.451144 0.870417 2.042976
2025-04-27 0.065151 0.098459 0.154142 0.262430 0.492535 1.038418 2.827640
2025-05-04 0.060414 0.093533 0.150882 0.267747 0.532999 1.225956 3.903255
2025-05-11 0.056635 0.089665 0.148771 0.274698 0.579562 1.458096 5.520664
2025-05-18 0.052914 0.085395 0.145194 0.277689 0.617670 1.691820 7.647910
2025-05-25 0.049510 0.081273 0.141259 0.278994 0.652094 1.940399 10.571793
2025-06-01 0.046217 0.076985 0.136385 0.277103 0.677220 2.177341 14.323169
2025-06-08 0.042869 0.072321 0.130287 0.271461 0.690828 2.388461 19.019392
2025-06-15 0.041055 0.070424 0.129705 0.279516 0.751869 2.883045 30.985138
2025-06-22 0.038356 0.066526 0.124360 0.274221 0.766634 3.168457 43.332295
2025-06-29 0.036622 0.064382 0.122575 0.278132 0.816681 3.726762 72.771733
2025-07-06 0.034537 0.061336 0.118403 0.274616 0.837863 4.143552 112.285360
2025-07-13 0.033187 0.059676 0.117192 0.279381 0.895240 4.927588 221.423773
2025-07-20 0.032094 0.058453 0.116843 0.286682 0.968197 6.010595 543.472671
2025-07-27 0.031000 0.057129 0.116090 0.292645 1.039572 7.288842 1663.793933
2025-08-03 0.030076 0.056088 0.115903 0.300446 1.125807 9.038393 9411.679084
2025-08-10 0.028993 0.054608 0.114445 0.303804 1.192518 10.839797 148818.558150
2025-08-17 0.027900 0.053017 0.112534 0.305270 1.251128 12.837030 NaN